How these forecasts are prepared:
I prepare these reports by casually watching the Weather Channel, following weather conditions, monitoring front movements, the NWS MRF weather models, media reports, and I occasionally even look out the window. I also use my experience, and follow the "conventional wisdom" I've picked up from other windsurfers. I am not a professional meteorologist (in fact I don't even know how to spell it correctly). I expect that most experienced sailors will be able to do just as well as me at forecasting. The main advantage of my reports is that I have not been doing it long enough to be as totally discredited as other forecasters. I also focus on conditions suitable for having fun windsurfing, which is not a high priority with most media reports. However, I cannot guarantee that my idea of fun is the same as anyone else's.
Lastly, there is no truth to the rumor that our forecasts are generated by any sort of ritual sacrifice. Due to the high costs of lambs, goats and vestal virgins, we discontinued that practice some time back.
How to use these forecasts:
Wind forecasting is not an exact science and I have determined that even the professionals find it hard to get it right. I sail as often as possible, and have found it is possible to have fun so long as there is some wind. Therefore, I try to go out every weekend when possible, regardless of the amount of wind. While forecasts are a useful, they are no substitute for looking at current conditions. I primarily use them as a guide as to when to more carefully follow current conditions. My rule is fairly simple - if there is enough wind to go sailing now, I go (if possible) regardless of what the forecast says (mine or anyone else). To find out what is really going on I call 770-532-4687 (Gainsville) to get a handle on current conditions at Lanier, and 770-425-3406 (McCollum) for Allatoona. When you call these numbers you will get lots of information pertinent to air traffic. The main point of interest will be something like "Wind 020 @05". This means that the wind is 5kts at 20 degrees from North (NNE). Due north is 0 or 360 degrees. Once you have the direction figured out check out the where to sail location on the ABC web page to find a launch suitable for the conditions.
Finally, realize that these reports are for wind measurements over a short period of time, and should be checked a couple of times when you are in doubt.
Also check regional condition reports to verify that conditions as other spots are reporting similar readings. Note however, that Dobbins and Hartfield airport are so unreliable (IMHO) as to be almost useless (and usually inflate the wind) and should only be considered if you are planning to land a 727 or they are corroborated by other stations (PDK, Fulton County, etc).
Red sky at morning sailor take warning, red sky at night, sailor delight and all that sort of stuff.
The Fine Print:
These reports are intended solely for the recreational purposed of ABC members and other windsurfers. No claims are made as to the accuracy of these forecasts. ABC and Randy assume no liability for actual, consequential or financial damages stemming use of these forecasts. By using these forecasts the user assumes full responsibility for loss of "fun" either by missing appropriate windsurfing conditions or by from "skunked". Likewise, failure to rig or bring correct board and sail sizes to sailing venues is the sole responsibility of the user. You will, however, have our sympathy should things not go according to plan. Finally, going out is your choice and judgment.
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